OR/14/018 Results - Revision history

Ajhil: /* Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots */

2022-06-23T11:09:24Z

Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:09, 23 June 2022
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	[[Image:14018 fig15.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 15'''    LTA recharge for changes to land use: like for like changes.]]		[[Image:14018 fig15.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 15'''    LTA recharge for changes to land use: like for like changes.]]
			<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig16.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 16'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected dominant land use types and those calculated with actual dominant LCM 2000.]]		[[Image:14018 fig16.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 16'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected dominant land use types and those calculated with actual dominant LCM 2000.]]
			<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig17.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 17'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected variations in percentage LCM 2000 and those calculated with actual percentage LCM2000.]]		[[Image:14018 fig17.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 17'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected variations in percentage LCM 2000 and those calculated with actual percentage LCM2000.]]

Ajhil: /* Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots */

2022-06-23T11:09:00Z

Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:09, 23 June 2022
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	National maps of annual long term average recharge totals and differences, in mm/a simulated by ZOODRM (for various dominant land use runs, all assuming historic climate)		National maps of annual long term average recharge totals and differences, in mm/a simulated by ZOODRM (for various dominant land use runs, all assuming historic climate)

	[[Image:14018 fig14.jpg\|thumb\|center\|~~500px~~\| '''Figure 14'''    LTA recharge for changes to land use: LCM and single type coverage. ]]		[[Image:14018 fig14.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 14'''    LTA recharge for changes to land use: LCM and single type coverage. ]]

	National maps of annual long term average recharge totals and differences, in mm/a simulated by ZOODRM (for various percentage land use runs, all assuming historic climate)		National maps of annual long term average recharge totals and differences, in mm/a simulated by ZOODRM (for various percentage land use runs, all assuming historic climate)

	[[Image:14018 fig15.jpg\|thumb\|center\|~~500px~~\| '''Figure 15'''    LTA recharge for changes to land use: like for like changes.]]		[[Image:14018 fig15.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 15'''    LTA recharge for changes to land use: like for like changes.]]

	[[Image:14018 fig16.jpg\|thumb\|center\|~~500px~~\| '''Figure 16'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected dominant land use types and those calculated with actual dominant LCM 2000.]]		[[Image:14018 fig16.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 16'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected dominant land use types and those calculated with actual dominant LCM 2000.]]

	[[Image:14018 fig17.jpg\|thumb\|center\|~~500px~~\| '''Figure 17'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected variations in percentage LCM 2000 and those calculated with actual percentage LCM2000.]]		[[Image:14018 fig17.jpg\|thumb\|center\|800px\| '''Figure 17'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected variations in percentage LCM 2000 and those calculated with actual percentage LCM2000.]]

	==References==		==References==

	[[category:OR/14/018 Land Use, Climate Change and Water Availability: Preliminary modelling of impacts of climate change and land use change on groundwater recharge for England and Wales \| 04]]		[[category:OR/14/018 Land Use, Climate Change and Water Availability: Preliminary modelling of impacts of climate change and land use change on groundwater recharge for England and Wales \| 04]]

Ajhil: /* Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots */

2022-06-23T11:08:34Z

Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:08, 23 June 2022
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	The following sections describe the variations in recharge values calculated over England and Wales as a whole, and also as sampled for each of the focus CAMS catchments. Recharge values presented in these sections are given in Table 5 and also shown in Figures 10 and 11. The average and maximum LTA recharge values calculated using the historic rainfall and evaporation data are shown in the first and second columns. The third and fourth columns give the maximum and minimum values of the 11 averages of LTA recharge values calculated for the 11 future runs of the first time horizon 2010–2039 (2020s). The fifth and sixth columns contain the second time horizon 2040–2069 (2050s), and the seventh and eighth columns hold the values for the third time horizon 2070–2099 (2070s).		The following sections describe the variations in recharge values calculated over England and Wales as a whole, and also as sampled for each of the focus CAMS catchments. Recharge values presented in these sections are given in Table 5 and also shown in Figures 10 and 11. The average and maximum LTA recharge values calculated using the historic rainfall and evaporation data are shown in the first and second columns. The third and fourth columns give the maximum and minimum values of the 11 averages of LTA recharge values calculated for the 11 future runs of the first time horizon 2010–2039 (2020s). The fifth and sixth columns contain the second time horizon 2040–2069 (2050s), and the seventh and eighth columns hold the values for the third time horizon 2070–2099 (2070s).

			<center>
	{\| class="wikitable"		{\| class="wikitable"
	\|+ Table 5. Summary of long term average historic and future recharge value characteristics		<span id="Table 5"></span>
			\|+ Table 5    Summary of long term average historic and future recharge value characteristics
	\| '''Catchment'''		\| '''Catchment'''
	\| colspan="2" \| <p align="center">'''Historic'''</p>		\| colspan="2" \| <p align="center">'''Historic'''</p>
Line 169:		Line 171:
	\| K: 0.595		\| K: 0.595
	\|}		\|}
			</center>

	===The Dee catchment===		===The Dee catchment===

Ajhil: /* Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots */

2022-06-23T11:08:06Z

Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:08, 23 June 2022
Line 254:		Line 254:
	National maps of annual long term average recharge totals and differences, in mm/a simulated by ZOODRM (for various dominant land use runs, all assuming historic climate)		National maps of annual long term average recharge totals and differences, in mm/a simulated by ZOODRM (for various dominant land use runs, all assuming historic climate)

			[[Image:14018 fig14.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\| '''Figure 14'''    LTA recharge for changes to land use: LCM and single type coverage. ]]
	[[Image:14018 fig14.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\| '''Figure 14''' LTA recharge for changes to land use: LCM and single type coverage. ]]


	National maps of annual long term average recharge totals and differences, in mm/a simulated by ZOODRM (for various percentage land use runs, all assuming historic climate)		National maps of annual long term average recharge totals and differences, in mm/a simulated by ZOODRM (for various percentage land use runs, all assuming historic climate)

	[[Image:14018 fig15.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\| '''Figure 15''' LTA recharge for changes to land use: like for like changes.]]		[[Image:14018 fig15.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\| '''Figure 15'''    LTA recharge for changes to land use: like for like changes.]]

	[[Image:14018 fig16.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\| '''Figure 16''' Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected dominant land use types and those calculated with actual dominant LCM 2000.]]		[[Image:14018 fig16.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\| '''Figure 16'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected dominant land use types and those calculated with actual dominant LCM 2000.]]

	[[Image:14018 fig17.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\| '''Figure 17''' Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected variations in percentage LCM 2000 and those calculated with actual percentage LCM2000.]]		[[Image:14018 fig17.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\| '''Figure 17'''    Plots of differences between recharge values calculated with selected variations in percentage LCM 2000 and those calculated with actual percentage LCM2000.]]

	==References==		==References==

	[[category:OR/14/018 Land Use, Climate Change and Water Availability: Preliminary modelling of impacts of climate change and land use change on groundwater recharge for England and Wales \| 04]]		[[category:OR/14/018 Land Use, Climate Change and Water Availability: Preliminary modelling of impacts of climate change and land use change on groundwater recharge for England and Wales \| 04]]

Ajhil: /* Discussion of RCM variability */

2022-06-23T11:07:35Z

Discussion of RCM variability

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:07, 23 June 2022
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	[[Image:14018 fig11.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 11'''    Plots of differences between simulated future LTA recharge values and historic LTA recharge values.]]		[[Image:14018 fig11.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 11'''    Plots of differences between simulated future LTA recharge values and historic LTA recharge values.]]
	<br>		<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig12.jpg\|thumb\|center\|~~900px~~\|'''Figure 12'''    Position of east-west and north-west stripes.]]		[[Image:14018 fig12.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 12'''    Position of east-west and north-west stripes.]]
	<br>		<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig13.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 13'''    Plots of future recharge values over selected stripes.]]		[[Image:14018 fig13.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 13'''    Plots of future recharge values over selected stripes.]]

Ajhil: /* Discussion of RCM variability */

2022-06-23T11:07:17Z

Discussion of RCM variability

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:07, 23 June 2022
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	[[Image:14018 fig10.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 10'''    Plots of historic and future recharge values.]]		[[Image:14018 fig10.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 10'''    Plots of historic and future recharge values.]]
	<br>		<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig11.jpg\|thumb\|center\|~~500px~~\|'''Figure 11'''    Plots of differences between simulated future LTA recharge values and historic LTA recharge values.]]		[[Image:14018 fig11.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 11'''    Plots of differences between simulated future LTA recharge values and historic LTA recharge values.]]
	<br>		<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig12.jpg\|thumb\|center\|~~500px~~\|'''Figure 12'''    Position of east-west and north-west stripes.]]		[[Image:14018 fig12.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 12'''    Position of east-west and north-west stripes.]]
	<br>		<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig13.jpg\|thumb\|center\|~~500px~~\|'''Figure 13'''    Plots of future recharge values over selected stripes.]]		[[Image:14018 fig13.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 13'''    Plots of future recharge values over selected stripes.]]

	==Land use change==		==Land use change==

Ajhil: /* Discussion of RCM variability */

2022-06-23T11:07:06Z

Discussion of RCM variability

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:07, 23 June 2022
Line 223:		Line 223:
	The results described above demonstrate that there is a significant variability between LTA recharge produced for each RCM for each timeslice. The RCM which consistently produces the greatest recharge is projection H (afixh). This is wetter for the historic simulation as well as the future predictions suggesting consistency between the historic simulation and future prediction. For the dryer, low recharge case then the results are more mixed, but projection A (afixa) appears to produce the lowest recharge, albeit for the 2020s. For the later timeslices (50s and 80s) then J and K (afixj and afixk) predominate. The latter are dryer for the historic simulation and the future predictions, again suggesting consistency between the historic simulation and future prediction.		The results described above demonstrate that there is a significant variability between LTA recharge produced for each RCM for each timeslice. The RCM which consistently produces the greatest recharge is projection H (afixh). This is wetter for the historic simulation as well as the future predictions suggesting consistency between the historic simulation and future prediction. For the dryer, low recharge case then the results are more mixed, but projection A (afixa) appears to produce the lowest recharge, albeit for the 2020s. For the later timeslices (50s and 80s) then J and K (afixj and afixk) predominate. The latter are dryer for the historic simulation and the future predictions, again suggesting consistency between the historic simulation and future prediction.

	[[Image:14018 fig10.jpg\|thumb\|center\|~~500px~~\|'''Figure 10'''    Plots of historic and future recharge values.]]		[[Image:14018 fig10.jpg\|thumb\|center\|900px\|'''Figure 10'''    Plots of historic and future recharge values.]]
	<br>		<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig11.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 11'''    Plots of differences between simulated future LTA recharge values and historic LTA recharge values.]]		[[Image:14018 fig11.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 11'''    Plots of differences between simulated future LTA recharge values and historic LTA recharge values.]]

Ajhil: /* Discussion of RCM variability */

2022-06-23T11:06:58Z

Discussion of RCM variability

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:06, 23 June 2022
Line 223:		Line 223:
	The results described above demonstrate that there is a significant variability between LTA recharge produced for each RCM for each timeslice. The RCM which consistently produces the greatest recharge is projection H (afixh). This is wetter for the historic simulation as well as the future predictions suggesting consistency between the historic simulation and future prediction. For the dryer, low recharge case then the results are more mixed, but projection A (afixa) appears to produce the lowest recharge, albeit for the 2020s. For the later timeslices (50s and 80s) then J and K (afixj and afixk) predominate. The latter are dryer for the historic simulation and the future predictions, again suggesting consistency between the historic simulation and future prediction.		The results described above demonstrate that there is a significant variability between LTA recharge produced for each RCM for each timeslice. The RCM which consistently produces the greatest recharge is projection H (afixh). This is wetter for the historic simulation as well as the future predictions suggesting consistency between the historic simulation and future prediction. For the dryer, low recharge case then the results are more mixed, but projection A (afixa) appears to produce the lowest recharge, albeit for the 2020s. For the later timeslices (50s and 80s) then J and K (afixj and afixk) predominate. The latter are dryer for the historic simulation and the future predictions, again suggesting consistency between the historic simulation and future prediction.

	[[Image:14018 fig10.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 10''' Plots of historic and future recharge values.]]		[[Image:14018 fig10.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 10'''    Plots of historic and future recharge values.]]
			<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig11.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 11''' Plots of differences between simulated future LTA recharge values and historic LTA recharge values.]]		[[Image:14018 fig11.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 11'''    Plots of differences between simulated future LTA recharge values and historic LTA recharge values.]]
			<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig12.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 12''' Position of east-west and north-west stripes.]]		[[Image:14018 fig12.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 12'''    Position of east-west and north-west stripes.]]
			<br>
	[[Image:14018 fig13.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 13''' Plots of future recharge values over selected stripes.]]		[[Image:14018 fig13.jpg\|thumb\|center\|500px\|'''Figure 13'''    Plots of future recharge values over selected stripes.]]

	==Land use change==		==Land use change==

Ajhil: /* Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots */

2022-06-23T11:06:12Z

Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:06, 23 June 2022
Line 64:		Line 64:
	\|+ Table 5. Summary of long term average historic and future recharge value characteristics		\|+ Table 5. Summary of long term average historic and future recharge value characteristics
	\| '''Catchment'''		\| '''Catchment'''
	\| colspan="2" \| '''Historic'''		\| colspan="2" \| <p align="center">'''Historic'''</p>
	\| colspan="2" \| '''2010–2039'''		\| colspan="2" \| <p align="center">'''2010–2039'''</p>
	\| colspan="2" \| '''2040–2069'''		\| colspan="2" \| <p align="center">'''2040–2069'''</p>
	\| colspan="2" \| '''2070–2099'''		\| colspan="2" \| <p align="center">'''2070–2099'''</p>
	\|-		\|-
	\|		\|

Ajhil: /* Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots */

2022-06-23T11:05:43Z

Catchment summaries using Box-Whisker plots

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:05, 23 June 2022
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	{\| class="wikitable"		{\| class="wikitable"
	\|+ Table 5. Summary of long term average historic and future recharge value characteristics		\|+ Table 5. Summary of long term average historic and future recharge value characteristics
	\| Catchment		\| '''Catchment'''
	\| colspan="2" \| '''Historic'''		\| colspan="2" \| '''Historic'''
	\| colspan="2" \| '''2010–2039'''		\| colspan="2" \| '''2010–2039'''