OR/17/056 Factors for risk mapping

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Lapworth, D J, Stuart, M E, Pedley, S, Nkhuwa, D C W, and Tijani, M N. 2017. A review of urban groundwater use and water quality challenges in Sub-Saharan Africa. British Geological Survey Internal Report, OR/17/056.

Preliminary assessment from literature review

From each of the chapters the key hazard factors have been extracted to inform the risk mapping process. These have been grouped into source-pathway-receptor categories (Table 10.1) with other local area factors such as population density. From the literature review a preliminary assessment of the importance of the various hazard factors can be made and these are shown as primary and secondary factors in the table.

Factors to be informed by local conditions

Whilst Table 10.1 sets out the key factors it does not always prioritise them or attempt to score them. The assessment can be informed by use of a risk assessment matrix (Figure 10.1). For a contaminant or a suite of contaminants, the various hazard factors are summed along the x-axis and a measure of the contamination along the y-axis. If the hazard factors selected are appropriate and/or correctly weighted the data will plot in the greyed areas of the diagram. Data which plot in the white areas can inform the weighting of the risk factors. In reality a scatter of data will still be obtained with some data points with excessive or unaccounted hazard factors.

The details of these will be provided from the project case study in Kabwe, Zambia and will underpin the risk mapping tool (Stuart et al., 2015) and this topic is covered in more detail in this accompanying report. There are a number of hazard details which do not appear to be covered in the review, e.g.:

  • The critical separation between the source and the water supply in different settings.
  • The role of borehole depth
  • Relative importance of hazard factors

There may be other hazards that may be important which prove not to have been not covered by the summary in Table 10.1 at all which include:

  • Socio-economic factors related to ownership, governance and legal frameworks;
  • Other gaps in the knowledge base such as local understanding of recharge mechanisms.
File:OR17056fig10.1.jpg
Figure 10.1    Risk assessment matrix.
Table 10.1    Examples of risk mapping hazard factors that need consideration.
Hazards Category Primary factors Secondary factors
Regional considerations Population density
Land use category
Relief/slope
Abstraction regime



Managed aquifer recharge
Aquifer vulnerability Lateritic soils
Shallow groundwater
Surface flooding
Karstic limestones
River sediments
Plinthosols and lateritic horizons
Weathered basement conditions
Contaminant sources Municipal/household Septic tanks
Latrines
Solid waste disposal
Amenity pesticides
Sewers
Sewage effluent
Storm water runoff
Cemetery
Abbatoir
Peri-urban agriculture Livestock wastes
Wastewater irrigation
Pesticides
Fertilisers
Soil amendment
Industrial Process plant effluent–textiles, pharmaceuticals, detergents
Industrial solid waste disposal
Fuel stations/leaking storage tanks
Chemical transport and pipelines
Hospitals and treatment centres Hospital waste discharge
Medical waste disposal
Mining Tailings and stockpiles
Pathways Aquifer vulnerability Lateritic soils
Shallow groundwater
Karstic limestones
River sediments
Weathered basement
Windblown sediments
Local/headworks pathways Eroded or devegetated spring backfill
Faulty masonry
Gap between borehole riser and apron
Damaged borehole apron
Lack of dugwell headwall
Lack of well cover
Use of bucket and rope
Gap between apron and well lining
Damaged well apron
Propensity to flood
Lack of diversion ditch

Lack of wastewater drain
Lack of fence

Animal access
Uncontrolled use
Receptors Groundwater use
Surface water
Private unmonitored supply
Public unmonitored supply
Water treatment not installed
No safety plan